by Rod D. Martin
September 28, 2018

BREAKING: Latest polling on Kavanaugh. A whopping 48% now have a favorable opinion, including 36% “Very Favorable”, which is up 10 full points from two weeks ago. 79% of Republicans have an overwhelmingly favorable opinion of him, while even 24% of Democrats like him too.

87% say that the Kavanaugh vote is important to their vote in November. 40% say they’re more likely to vote for a Senator who votes for him, vs. 37% less likely, which is roughly the same as two weeks ago. BUT while that number was 50% of Republicans earlier this month, it’s jumped to 66% of Republicans now, which is very dangerous for Democrat Senators Jon Tester (D-MT), Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) and Joe Manchin (D-WV): if they vote no, they will probably lose their re-elects this November.

Interestingly enough, while men have a more favorable opinion of Kavanaugh than women, the margin is very small: 52% vs. 45%.

Oh, and most agree with McConnell’s decision to go forward with a vote no matter what.

All of this is very bad news for Democrats. They failed.

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(The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters I’ve cited was conducted by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.)

— Latest Poll on Kavanaugh originally appeared as a Facebook post by Rod D. Martin.