A Note From Rod
You’re getting this week’s edition a day earlier than normal because I’m off to the Council for National Policy meeting.
Trump is still up in South Carolina, but a new WSJ/NBC poll out last night has Cruz in the lead nationally: Cruz 28%, Trump 26%, Rubio 17%, Kasich 11%, Jeb! 4% (and yeah, that’s gotta hurt).
Does this mean anything? Well first of all, it’s a national poll, so it doesn’t mean much for South Carolina, where most polling still shows Trump way ahead. Second, the outcome in South Carolina will certainly affect future polling; and third, it must be noted that this poll is an outlier, at least among public polls.
Even so, this poll shows a seven-point drop for Trump since he started calling everyone but himself a liar, and began suggesting George W. Bush knew in advance about 9/11. If it’s valid, it’s the first poll to show any consequences of those broadsides. And it also shows that Ted Cruz is weathering the storm far better than many think.
The Democrat race is even more interesting. Sanders has pulled even with Hillary in Nevada, which absolutely WAS NOT supposed to happen. Hillary’s people are scrambling, saying things like “Nevada’s too white to be a fair test.”
Seriously? Memo to Hillary: America is only 12.61% black. Eventually you’re going to have to win a few white people.
As I described last week, Hillary is getting slaughtered with millennials (83% against, across racial lines) and with the 1/3 of Democrat voters who say “honest and trustworthy” is their top priority (95% to 5% against). She’s in a lot of trouble. Nationally, Bernie’s closed the gap to just ten points. And MSNBC is openly fretting about her chances in South Carolina.
Let’s be perfectly clear. If Hillary loses Nevada, she’s in grave trouble in South Carolina. And if she wins there by much less than expected — much less loses outright — Sanders is as likely as not to roll her up in the weeks following.
One last thing before I close. The loss of Antonin Scalia this weekend was tragic on many levels. But it’s certainly a wake-up call for this race. You’ll want to read our article (below) on this. You ought to want to vote for the person best qualified to pick Supreme Court Justices: Scalia is just the first, with as many as four more likely to be named by the next President.
You can read about the world anywhere. You come to RodMartin.org to understand it. Do your friends a favor and pass it along; and remember, there’s a lot more we publish each week that doesn’t make the newsletter.
P.S. For the third week, I will be guest authoring Dr. Jack Wheeler’s “Half-Full Report” at ToThePointNews.com, as I’ll be doing throughout the month of February (here’s last week’s, which is still highly relevant).
P.P.S. Oh, I almost forgot (and in fact, I had completely forgotten until this past week): it turns out that I completely predicted Trump’s strategy almost six years ago! There’s a reason his words work, it is highly relevant to the Republican Party’s future, and you won’t want to miss it: just scroll down.
by Rod D. Martin
One of Donald Trump’s big selling points is that he’s self-financing his campaign: according to him, he “can’t be bought,” while all of his opponents are “bought and paid for.”
by Joshua Charles
Josh Charles, co-author of Glenn Beck’s New York Times #1 bestseller on the Federalist Papers, explores the real importance of strict constructionism, original intent, what the Founding Fathers had to say about it, and why Justice Scalia matters.
by George Friedman
The European Union is fragmenting, and Russia is becoming more active in its former Soviet sphere of influence. In this upheaval, a string of countries running from the Baltic Sea down the Carpathians to the Black Sea is slowly developing a common interest in countering Moscow while chafing under Western European interference. Poland is the natural leader of Central and Eastern Europe. But its task will not be easy.
by Barry Brownstein
Bernie Sanders may not get it, but in every way that matters — health care, diet, plumbing, transportation, clean water and a thousand other things — capitalism and innovation have made common people richer than kings just 100 years ago, and radically reduced the practical differences between those at the top and those at the bottom. And the trend just keeps getting better.
by Rod D. Martin
Close followers of Rod’s writings this past year have noticed his almost perfect predictive track record. But what you may not realize (and even we didn’t until the other day) is that in 2010, Rod predicted Trump’s winning (so far) strategy in shocking detail.
You can read about the world anywhere. You come to RodMartin.org to understand it.
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